Points, rebounds and assists adjusted for how the opponent has defended the player's position over its last fifteen games, and for fatigue. Selected by price edge instead of stat gap: the model's chance for the marked side, set against the quoted price, must exceed the chance that price needs by about one point, and comparisons are ordered by that price edge.
119-88 · 57.5% of 207 · break-even 55.1%
Showing nights before Oct 30. Latest
Darius Acuff Jr. · Assists Over 1.5
Replaced before tip-off
SAC @ NOP · +100 at DraftKings · break-even 50.0% · projection 5.2
Dejounte Murray · Rebounds Over 1.5
Replaced before tip-off
SAC @ NOP · -110 at DraftKings · break-even 52.4% · projection 5.6
Domantas Sabonis · Rebounds Under 14.5
Replaced before tip-off
SAC @ NOP · -144 at FanDuel · break-even 59.0% · projection 12.7
Domantas Sabonis · Rebounds Under 14.5
Replaced before tip-off
SAC @ NOP · -130 at Fanatics · break-even 56.5% · projection 12.7
Domantas Sabonis · Rebounds Under 14.5
Missed · 15
SAC @ NOP · -125 at FanDuel · break-even 55.6% · projection 12.7
Donovan Mitchell · Assists Under 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
CLE @ ATL · -162 at FanDuel · break-even 61.8% · projection 3.6
Donovan Mitchell · Assists Under 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
CLE @ ATL · -140 at BetMGM · break-even 58.3% · projection 4.1
Donovan Mitchell · Assists Under 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
CLE @ ATL · -158 at FanDuel · break-even 61.2% · projection 3.9
Donovan Mitchell · Assists Under 5.5
Covered · 3
CLE @ ATL · -146 at FanDuel · break-even 59.4% · projection 4.1
Jarrett Allen · Rebounds Under 8.5
Replaced before tip-off
CLE @ ATL · -120 at DraftKings · break-even 54.5% · projection 7.1
Jarrett Allen · Rebounds Under 8.5
Covered · 8
CLE @ ATL · -111 at FanDuel · break-even 52.6% · projection 7.4
Donovan Clingan · Rebounds Under 11.5
Replaced before tip-off
MEM @ POR · -119 at DraftKings · break-even 54.3% · projection 10
Ja Morant · Assists Over 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
MEM @ POR · -156 at DraftKings · break-even 60.9% · projection 9.1
Ja Morant · Assists Over 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
MEM @ POR · -140 at BetMGM · break-even 58.3% · projection 9.2
Ja Morant · Assists Over 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
MEM @ POR · -140 at BetMGM · break-even 58.3% · projection 9.3
Ja Morant · Assists Over 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
MEM @ POR · -158 at FanDuel · break-even 61.2% · projection 9.4
Ja Morant · Assists Over 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
MEM @ POR · -156 at FanDuel · break-even 60.9% · projection 9.4
Ja Morant · Assists Over 5.5
Missed · 3
MEM @ POR · -160 at FanDuel · break-even 61.5% · projection 9.4
Ty Jerome · Assists Under 6.5
Replaced before tip-off
MEM @ POR · -140 at FanDuel · break-even 58.3% · projection 4.9
Ty Jerome · Points Under 23.5
Replaced before tip-off
MEM @ POR · -115 at DraftKings · break-even 53.5% · projection 18.3
Ty Jerome · Points Under 24.5
Covered · 10
MEM @ POR · -121 at DraftKings · break-even 54.8% · projection 20.2
Bobby Portis · Rebounds Under 7.5
Replaced before tip-off
MIA @ ATL · -158 at FanDuel · break-even 61.2% · projection 5.8
Bobby Portis · Rebounds Under 7.5
Replaced before tip-off
MIA @ ATL · -124 at betPARX · break-even 55.4% · projection 6
Bobby Portis · Rebounds Under 7.5
Replaced before tip-off
MIA @ ATL · -156 at FanDuel · break-even 60.9% · projection 6
Bobby Portis · Rebounds Under 7.5
Missed · 9
MIA @ ATL · -158 at FanDuel · break-even 61.2% · projection 6
Brandon Miller · Points Under 25.5
Replaced before tip-off
CHA @ DET · -130 at FanDuel · break-even 56.5% · projection 17
Cade Cunningham · Points Under 24.5
Replaced before tip-off
CHA @ DET · -116 at DraftKings · break-even 53.7% · projection 20.3
Dennis Schroder · Assists Under 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
CHA @ DET · -140 at Fanatics · break-even 58.3% · projection 3
Dennis Schroder · Assists Under 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
CHA @ DET · -112 at FanDuel · break-even 52.8% · projection 4
Dennis Schroder · Assists Under 5.5
Covered · 5
CHA @ DET · -114 at FanDuel · break-even 53.3% · projection 4
Dennis Schroder · Points Under 12.5
Replaced before tip-off
CHA @ DET · -110 at FanDuel · break-even 52.4% · projection 7.8
Jalen Johnson · Rebounds Under 10.5
Replaced before tip-off
MIA @ ATL · -135 at BetMGM · break-even 57.5% · projection 8.8
Jalen Johnson · Rebounds Under 10.5
Replaced before tip-off
MIA @ ATL · -125 at betPARX · break-even 55.6% · projection 8.8
Jalen Johnson · Rebounds Under 10.5
Replaced before tip-off
MIA @ ATL · -127 at betPARX · break-even 56.0% · projection 8.8
Jalen Johnson · Rebounds Under 10.5
Covered · 9
MIA @ ATL · -142 at FanDuel · break-even 58.7% · projection 8.8
Joel Embiid · Rebounds Under 9.5
Replaced before tip-off
PHI @ IND · -152 at FanDuel · break-even 60.3% · projection 7.6
John Collins · Rebounds Under 7.5
Replaced before tip-off
CHA @ DET · -130 at Fanatics · break-even 56.5% · projection 6
Moussa Diabate · Rebounds Under 9.5
Replaced before tip-off
CHA @ DET · -125 at BetMGM · break-even 55.6% · projection 8
Naz Reid · Rebounds Under 8.5
Replaced before tip-off
CHA @ DET · -160 at FanDuel · break-even 61.5% · projection 6.2
Naz Reid · Rebounds Under 8.5
Replaced before tip-off
CHA @ DET · -143 at DraftKings · break-even 58.9% · projection 6.5
Naz Reid · Rebounds Under 8.5
Covered · 6
CHA @ DET · -137 at DraftKings · break-even 57.8% · projection 6.5
Trae Young · Assists Under 10.5
Replaced before tip-off
WAS @ CLE · -154 at FanDuel · break-even 60.6% · projection 9.1
Trae Young · Assists Under 10.5
Replaced before tip-off
WAS @ CLE · -139 at DraftKings · break-even 58.2% · projection 8.8
Tyrese Haliburton · Assists Under 9.5
Replaced before tip-off
PHI @ IND · -122 at FanDuel · break-even 54.9% · projection 7
Tyrese Haliburton · Assists Under 9.5
Replaced before tip-off
PHI @ IND · -116 at DraftKings · break-even 53.7% · projection 7.3
Franz Wagner · Assists Under 6.5
Replaced before tip-off
ORL @ TOR · -162 at FanDuel · break-even 61.8% · projection 3.7
Franz Wagner · Assists Under 6.5
Replaced before tip-off
ORL @ TOR · -140 at DraftKings · break-even 58.3% · projection 5.2
Franz Wagner · Assists Under 6.5
Covered · 5
ORL @ TOR · -154 at FanDuel · break-even 60.6% · projection 5.2
Immanuel Quickley · Assists Under 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
ORL @ TOR · -102 at FanDuel · break-even 50.5% · projection 4.2
Immanuel Quickley · Assists Under 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
ORL @ TOR · -105 at BetMGM · break-even 51.2% · projection 4.4
Immanuel Quickley · Assists Under 5.5
Missed · 7
ORL @ TOR · -107 at DraftKings · break-even 51.7% · projection 4.4
Immanuel Quickley · Points Under 17.5
Replaced before tip-off
ORL @ TOR · -112 at DraftKings · break-even 52.8% · projection 13.3
Immanuel Quickley · Points Under 17.5
Replaced before tip-off
ORL @ TOR · -114 at DraftKings · break-even 53.3% · projection 13.3
Immanuel Quickley · Points Under 17.5
Covered · 16
ORL @ TOR · -103 at DraftKings · break-even 50.7% · projection 13.3
Jakob Poeltl · Rebounds Under 7.5
Replaced before tip-off
ORL @ TOR · -148 at betPARX · break-even 59.7% · projection 5.8
Brandin Podziemski · Assists Under 3.5
Replaced before tip-off
GSW @ MIN · -120 at BetMGM · break-even 54.5% · projection 2.3
Jonathan Kuminga · Rebounds Under 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
GSW @ MIN · -116 at DraftKings · break-even 53.7% · projection 4.2
Jonathan Kuminga · Rebounds Under 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
GSW @ MIN · -120 at FanDuel · break-even 54.5% · projection 4.2
Jonathan Kuminga · Rebounds Under 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
GSW @ MIN · -113 at FanDuel · break-even 53.0% · projection 4.2
Jonathan Kuminga · Rebounds Under 5.5
Covered · 3
GSW @ MIN · -120 at FanDuel · break-even 54.5% · projection 4.2
LaMelo Ball · Rebounds Under 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
GSW @ MIN · -159 at betPARX · break-even 61.4% · projection 3.6
LaMelo Ball · Rebounds Under 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
GSW @ MIN · -155 at BetMGM · break-even 60.8% · projection 3.6
LaMelo Ball · Rebounds Under 5.5
Covered · 3
GSW @ MIN · -157 at betPARX · break-even 61.1% · projection 3.6
Norman Powell · Points Under 19.5
Missed · 30
NYK @ CHI · -128 at FanDuel · break-even 56.1% · projection 14.8
Rudy Gobert · Rebounds Under 12.5
Replaced before tip-off
GSW @ MIN · -127 at betPARX · break-even 56.0% · projection 10.6
Rudy Gobert · Rebounds Under 12.5
Replaced before tip-off
GSW @ MIN · -129 at betPARX · break-even 56.3% · projection 10.6
Rudy Gobert · Rebounds Under 12.5
Covered · 4
GSW @ MIN · -127 at betPARX · break-even 56.0% · projection 10.6
Tari Eason · Rebounds Under 7.5
Missed · 9
HOU @ MIL · -150 at BetRivers · break-even 60.0% · projection 5.5
PJ Washington · Rebounds Under 7.5
Missed · 9
OKC @ DAL · -146 at DraftKings · break-even 59.4% · projection 5.8
Darius Garland · Assists Under 8.5
Replaced before tip-off
LAL @ LAC · -150 at Fanatics · break-even 60.0% · projection 7
Darius Garland · Assists Under 8.5
Covered · 5
LAL @ LAC · -138 at DraftKings · break-even 58.0% · projection 7.2
Jayson Tatum · Points Under 27.5
Replaced before tip-off
BKN @ BOS · -121 at DraftKings · break-even 54.8% · projection 23.1
Julius Randle · Assists Under 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
BKN @ BOS · -132 at FanDuel · break-even 56.9% · projection 3.4
Julius Randle · Assists Under 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
BKN @ BOS · -141 at Caesars · break-even 58.5% · projection 3.9
Julius Randle · Assists Under 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
BKN @ BOS · -152 at betPARX · break-even 60.3% · projection 3.9
Julius Randle · Assists Under 4.5
Covered · 4
BKN @ BOS · -108 at FanDuel · break-even 51.9% · projection 3.5
Cade Cunningham · Assists Under 8.5
Replaced before tip-off
DET @ NYK · +102 at FanDuel · break-even 49.5% · projection 7
Cade Cunningham · Assists Under 9.5
Replaced before tip-off
DET @ NYK · -152 at FanDuel · break-even 60.3% · projection 7.5
Cade Cunningham · Assists Under 9.5
Covered · 8
DET @ NYK · -190 at BetMGM · break-even 65.5% · projection 7.7
Domantas Sabonis · Assists Under 6.5
Replaced before tip-off
SAC @ SAS · -136 at FanDuel · break-even 57.6% · projection 4.3
Domantas Sabonis · Assists Under 5.5
Missed · 8
SAC @ SAS · +104 at DraftKings · break-even 49.0% · projection 4.4
Domantas Sabonis · Rebounds Under 13.5
Replaced before tip-off
SAC @ SAS · +104 at FanDuel · break-even 49.0% · projection 11.1
Domantas Sabonis · Rebounds Under 13.5
Missed · 14
SAC @ SAS · -114 at FanDuel · break-even 53.3% · projection 10.6
John Collins · Rebounds Under 7.5
Replaced before tip-off
DET @ NYK · -141 at DraftKings · break-even 58.5% · projection 6
John Collins · Rebounds Under 7.5
Missed · 9
DET @ NYK · -139 at betPARX · break-even 58.2% · projection 6
Donovan Clingan · Rebounds Under 10.5
Replaced before tip-off
POR @ LAL · +104 at FanDuel · break-even 49.0% · projection 7.4
Donovan Clingan · Rebounds Under 10.5
Replaced before tip-off
POR @ LAL · +102 at FanDuel · break-even 49.5% · projection 7.9
Donovan Clingan · Rebounds Under 10.5
Replaced before tip-off
POR @ LAL · -139 at betPARX · break-even 58.2% · projection 7.8
Donovan Clingan · Rebounds Under 9.5
Missed · 10
POR @ LAL · -111 at FanDuel · break-even 52.6% · projection 7.8
Luka Doncic · Points Under 33.5
Replaced before tip-off
POR @ LAL · -120 at DraftKings · break-even 54.5% · projection 29.1
Brandon Miller · Points Under 23.5
Replaced before tip-off
WAS @ CHA · -105 at Fanatics · break-even 51.2% · projection 19.1
James Harden · Assists Under 6.5
Replaced before tip-off
MIN @ CLE · +102 at FanDuel · break-even 49.5% · projection 5.3
Rudy Gobert · Rebounds Under 11.5
Missed · 20
MIN @ CLE · -115 at BetMGM · break-even 53.5% · projection 9.1
Trae Young · Assists Under 10.5
Replaced before tip-off
WAS @ CHA · -158 at FanDuel · break-even 61.2% · projection 7.9
Trae Young · Assists Under 10.5
Covered · 10
WAS @ CHA · -145 at Fanatics · break-even 59.2% · projection 8.9
Cooper Flagg · Assists Under 6.5
Missed · 11
DAL @ MIA · -147 at DraftKings · break-even 59.5% · projection 5
Norman Powell · Points Under 18.5
Replaced before tip-off
CHI @ BOS · +102 at FanDuel · break-even 49.5% · projection 13.5
Tre Jones · Assists Under 4.5
Covered · 0
CHI @ BOS · -124 at DraftKings · break-even 55.4% · projection 3.2
Tyrese Haliburton · Assists Under 9.5
Covered · 9
IND @ MIL · -102 at FanDuel · break-even 50.5% · projection 8.2
Fred VanVleet · Assists Under 5.5
Replaced before tip-off
ATL @ HOU · +110 at FanDuel · break-even 47.6% · projection 4.5
Fred VanVleet · Assists Under 6.5
Covered · 5
ATL @ HOU · -155 at betPARX · break-even 60.8% · projection 5
Airious Bailey · Rebounds Under 4.5
Replaced before tip-off
MEM @ UTA · -112 at FanDuel · break-even 52.8% · projection 3.2
Cameron Boozer · Rebounds Over 9.5
Missed · 7
MEM @ UTA · +118 at FanDuel · break-even 45.9% · projection 12.2
Darryn Peterson · Assists Under 3.5
Missed · 4
MEM @ UTA · -163 at DraftKings · break-even 62.0% · projection 1.9
Isaiah Collier · Assists Over 4.5
Replaced before tip-off
MEM @ UTA · -120 at FanDuel · break-even 54.5% · projection 7.1
Isaiah Collier · Assists Over 4.5
Covered · 8
MEM @ UTA · -114 at DraftKings · break-even 53.3% · projection 6.5
Keyonte George · Assists Under 6.5
Replaced before tip-off
MEM @ UTA · +118 at FanDuel · break-even 45.9% · projection 5.2
Ty Jerome · Points Under 26.5
Replaced before tip-off
MEM @ UTA · -106 at FanDuel · break-even 51.5% · projection 20.8
Brandin Podziemski · Assists Under 3.5
Missed · 5
GSW @ DEN · -102 at FanDuel · break-even 50.5% · projection 2.1
Brandin Podziemski · Rebounds Under 5.5
Missed · 7
GSW @ DEN · -158 at FanDuel · break-even 61.2% · projection 3.7
Nikola Jokic · Assists Under 10.5
Missed · 11
GSW @ DEN · -142 at DraftKings · break-even 58.7% · projection 8.9
Keyonte George · Assists Under 6.5
Missed · 10
LAL @ UTA · -105 at Fanatics · break-even 51.2% · projection 4.6
Tyrese Haliburton · Assists Under 9.5
Missed · 10
IND @ BKN · -112 at FanDuel · break-even 52.8% · projection 7.2
Immanuel Quickley · Assists Under 5.5
Covered · 2
TOR @ MIN · -108 at FanDuel · break-even 51.9% · projection 4
Jalen Suggs · Assists Under 5.5
Missed · 6
ORL @ NYK · +112 at FanDuel · break-even 47.2% · projection 4
Rudy Gobert · Rebounds Under 11.5
Missed · 13
TOR @ MIN · -132 at DraftKings · break-even 56.9% · projection 9.6
Rui Hachimura · Rebounds Under 5.5
Covered · 4
LAC @ OKC · -132 at FanDuel · break-even 56.9% · projection 4
Cade Cunningham · Assists Under 9.5
Covered · 8
DET @ PHI · +102 at FanDuel · break-even 49.5% · projection 7.1
Cade Cunningham · Points Under 26.5
Covered · 26
DET @ PHI · -107 at DraftKings · break-even 51.7% · projection 22.2
Domantas Sabonis · Assists Under 6.5
Covered · 3
MEM @ SAC · +110 at FanDuel · break-even 47.6% · projection 5
Domantas Sabonis · Points Under 18.5
Covered · 15
MEM @ SAC · -111 at DraftKings · break-even 52.6% · projection 14.2
Domantas Sabonis · Rebounds Under 13.5
Missed · 15
MEM @ SAC · +104 at FanDuel · break-even 49.0% · projection 11.1
Davion Mitchell · Assists Under 6.5
Missed · 10
MIA @ CHA · -138 at FanDuel · break-even 58.0% · projection 5.1
Naz Reid · Assists Under 3.5
Covered · 0
MIA @ CHA · -125 at BetMGM · break-even 55.6% · projection 2.2
Naz Reid · Rebounds Under 7.5
Missed · 9
MIA @ CHA · +102 at FanDuel · break-even 49.5% · projection 6.3
James Harden · Assists Under 7.5
Covered · 7
BKN @ CLE · -155 at BetMGM · break-even 60.8% · projection 5.9
Joel Embiid · Rebounds Under 9.5
Missed · 11
MIL @ PHI · -145 at Fanatics · break-even 59.2% · projection 7.8
Julius Randle · Assists Under 4.5
Missed · 5
BKN @ CLE · -115 at Fanatics · break-even 53.5% · projection 3.2
Tyler Herro · Points Under 21.5
Covered · 13
MIL @ PHI · -120 at FanDuel · break-even 54.5% · projection 16.9
Deandre Ayton · Rebounds Over 4.5
Covered · 5
WAS @ CHI · -115 at BetMGM · break-even 53.5% · projection 8.7
Norman Powell · Points Under 20.5
Covered · 18
WAS @ CHI · -114 at FanDuel · break-even 53.3% · projection 15.4
Trae Young · Assists Under 11.5
Covered · 9
WAS @ CHI · -130 at FanDuel · break-even 56.5% · projection 9.2
Jamal Murray · Assists Under 7.5
Covered · 6
NOP @ DEN · -158 at FanDuel · break-even 61.2% · projection 5.9
Jeremiah Fears · Assists Over 2.5
Missed · 2
NOP @ DEN · -110 at FanDuel · break-even 52.4% · projection 4.9
Anthony Edwards · Points Under 29.5
Covered · 15
MIN @ ORL · -106 at DraftKings · break-even 51.5% · projection 25.2
Franz Wagner · Assists Under 5.5
Covered · 5
MIN @ ORL · -158 at FanDuel · break-even 61.2% · projection 3.8
Jamal Shead · Assists Over 3.5
Covered · 5
TOR @ WAS · -137 at DraftKings · break-even 57.8% · projection 6
LaMelo Ball · Assists Under 8.5
Covered · 5
MIN @ ORL · -137 at BetRivers · break-even 57.8% · projection 5.9
Onyeka Okongwu · Rebounds Under 7.5
Covered · 4
ATL @ CHA · -140 at DraftKings · break-even 58.3% · projection 5.6
Rudy Gobert · Rebounds Under 11.5
Covered · 9
MIN @ ORL · -105 at BetMGM · break-even 51.2% · projection 10.2
Domantas Sabonis · Assists Under 6.5
Missed · 10
POR @ SAC · -152 at Caesars · break-even 60.3% · projection 4.7
Domantas Sabonis · Rebounds Under 12.5
Missed · 19
POR @ SAC · +102 at FanDuel · break-even 49.5% · projection 10.6
Donovan Clingan · Rebounds Under 11.5
Covered · 10
POR @ SAC · -123 at DraftKings · break-even 55.2% · projection 9.8
Ja Morant · Assists Over 5.5
Covered · 7
POR @ SAC · -155 at DraftKings · break-even 60.8% · projection 8.4
Rui Hachimura · Rebounds Under 5.5
Missed · 6
LAC @ LAL · +110 at betPARX · break-even 47.6% · projection 4.2